Will Carson win Iowa?

Carson is getting major attention for taking the lead spot in recent Iowa polls. He’s the first candidate to overtake Trump anywhere, and a win in Iowa might be the key to derailing Trump’s national momentum.

Carson is riding the unique evangelical dynamic in Iowa, which went for Pat Robertson, Huckabee and Santorum in past elections.

However, I think there is a real possibility that another evangelical could swing into Iowa and unseat Carson at the last minute, by attacking him on his evangelical bona fides.

National media is focusing on his appeal and network among the home school demographic. However, a very influential figure in that arena is not supporting Carson and points to areas of Carson vulnerability on the abortion issue, which is the ultimate litmus for these voters.

Trump has keyed in on Carson’s Seventh Day Adventist denomination. It’s perceived by some to be on the fringe (or could be portrayed to be by a PAC-backed attack ad), and this certainly could be exploited to make Iowa evangelicals skittish on Carson.

A Carson key advisor is under scrutiny for supporting the Nation of Islam – again, more fodder.

Finally, Carson has said a lot of things that could be used in ads to portray him as unelectable…scaring off Iowa voters at the last minute.

And then there is the time he attempted to murder someone.

It all adds up. So what will the modern day Lee Atwaters do with this?

Several candidates like Rubio, Cruz and Bush are sitting on piles of Super PAC money. They are keeping their powder dry. But watch what happens the last couple weeks in Iowa.

Any of those guys could go on a suicide mission of mutually assured destruction and spend $30M to saturate Iowa airwaves in the final week and take down Carson.  Then, someone else will emerge to win the evangelical vote and take Iowa.

Will Carson win Iowa?

Are You Listening, Mrs. Clinton?

Mrs. Clinton kicked off her campaign for the presidency by driving to Iowa to conduct another “listening tour.”  But after the first two stops, it’s become obvious how carefully staged and transparently silly this tour is. The participants are hand-picked.  Mrs. Clinton is jotting notes. (Write fast, there’s a lot to learn before being President!)  No questions from journalists.  But the media cameras are allowed in to beam the images around the world, and the background has been meticulously arranged by a set designer.

This is all about optics: presenting carefully constructed images to make us feel that Mrs. Clinton will develop her policies based on the input of everyday Iowans.  Are we to believe she is going to actually craft her policy platform based on what she is learning in a week-long road trip through Iowa?  Her stance on issues has always been and will always be more affected by the Wall Street money lining up to fund her $2.5 billion campaign. These poor Iowans are unwitting props in a Clinton campaign infomercial, with free airtime provided by 24-hour cable news.




Are You Listening, Mrs. Clinton?